BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Michigan State 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Michigan State 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
13.27 |
23.16 (+9.89) |
15.80 |
20.53 (+4.73) |
21.52 (+0.99) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
272.18 |
308.12 (+35.94) |
330.00 |
357.01 (+27.01) |
338.68 (-18.33) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.27 |
4.97 (+0.71) |
5.42 |
5.94 (+0.52) |
5.57 (-0.36) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
29.64 |
24.11 (-5.53) |
25.20 |
20.57 (-4.63) |
21.90 (+1.33) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
408.09 |
429.89 (+21.80) |
367.80 |
330.02 (-37.78) |
367.47 (+37.45) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.93 |
5.88 (-0.06) |
5.35 |
4.87 (-0.48) |
5.25 (+0.38) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +1.9 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-30 |
Florida Atlantic |
24.04 |
17.27 |
-6.77 |
41.31 |
60.86% |
W 16-10 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Maryland |
19.72 |
32.10 |
+12.37 |
51.82 |
30.15% |
W 27-24 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
Prairie View A&M |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 40-0 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-22 |
@Boston College |
20.43 |
24.88 |
+4.45 |
45.31 |
42.86% |
L 19-23 |
3-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Ohio State |
7.34 |
38.57 |
+31.22 |
45.91 |
0.10% |
L 7-38 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Oregon |
9.10 |
40.07 |
+30.97 |
49.18 |
0.32% |
L 10-31 |
3-3 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Iowa |
12.78 |
25.69 |
+12.91 |
38.47 |
29.29% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Michigan |
13.31 |
31.99 |
+18.68 |
45.30 |
20.04% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
Indiana |
20.18 |
34.38 |
+14.20 |
54.57 |
27.22% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
@Illinois |
20.58 |
25.84 |
+5.26 |
46.42 |
41.56% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
Purdue |
35.62 |
22.46 |
-13.16 |
58.08 |
71.11% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Rutgers |
18.61 |
21.45 |
+2.83 |
40.06 |
45.46% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
3.87% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 4-8 |
18.94% |
3.87% |
96.13% |
| 5-7 |
33.93% |
22.82% |
77.18% |
| 6-6 |
28.32% |
56.75% |
43.25% |
| 7-5 |
12.14% |
85.06% |
14.94% |
| 8-4 |
2.57% |
97.21% |
2.79% |
| 9-3 |
0.22% |
99.78% |
0.22% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
0.62% |
| 2-10 |
4.72% |
| 3-9 |
14.54% |
| 4-8 |
25.53% |
| 5-7 |
27.16% |
| 6-6 |
17.81% |
| 7-5 |
7.41% |
| 8-4 |
1.91% |
| 9-3 |
0.28% |
| 10-2 |
0.02% |