BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
Michigan State 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
Michigan State 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
13.27 |
23.16 (+9.89) |
17.11 |
19.94 (+2.83) |
19.94 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
272.18 |
308.12 (+35.94) |
335.33 |
357.83 (+22.50) |
357.83 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.27 |
4.97 (+0.71) |
5.27 |
5.61 (+0.34) |
5.61 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
29.64 |
24.11 (-5.53) |
28.33 |
26.52 (-1.82) |
26.52 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
408.09 |
429.89 (+21.80) |
352.44 |
356.73 (+4.29) |
356.73 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.93 |
5.88 (-0.06) |
5.65 |
5.62 (-0.03) |
5.62 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +1.9 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-30 |
Florida Atlantic |
26.73 |
18.01 |
-8.72 |
44.75 |
63.99% |
W 16-10 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Maryland |
24.13 |
30.77 |
+6.63 |
54.90 |
39.36% |
W 27-24 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
Prairie View A&M |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 40-0 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-22 |
@Boston College |
20.24 |
28.87 |
+8.63 |
49.11 |
36.16% |
L 19-23 |
3-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Ohio State |
8.37 |
38.55 |
+30.18 |
46.92 |
1.60% |
L 7-38 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Oregon |
11.49 |
38.20 |
+26.71 |
49.70 |
7.17% |
L 10-31 |
3-3 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Iowa |
18.31 |
33.53 |
+15.21 |
51.84 |
25.60% |
W 32-20 |
4-3 |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Michigan |
15.48 |
27.15 |
+11.67 |
42.63 |
31.29% |
L 17-24 |
4-4 |
| 2024-11-02 |
Indiana |
16.52 |
42.86 |
+26.34 |
59.38 |
7.75% |
L 10-47 |
4-5 |
| 2024-11-16 |
@Illinois |
18.87 |
28.72 |
+9.85 |
47.59 |
34.21% |
L 16-38 |
4-6 |
| 2024-11-23 |
Purdue |
36.87 |
19.56 |
-17.31 |
56.43 |
77.76% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Rutgers |
22.88 |
26.28 |
+3.40 |
49.16 |
44.54% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 4-8 |
12.43% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 5-7 |
53.04% |
12.43% |
87.57% |
| 6-6 |
34.53% |
65.47% |
34.53% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.53% |
| 2-10 |
4.28% |
| 3-9 |
14.58% |
| 4-8 |
26.16% |
| 5-7 |
27.15% |
| 6-6 |
17.88% |
| 7-5 |
7.29% |
| 8-4 |
1.83% |
| 9-3 |
0.30% |
| 10-2 |
0.01% |